P(Blue|Bag 1) = 0.7
P(Blue|Bag 2) = 0.3
I choose balls without replacement from a bag until I have 12 balls, 8 of which are blue.
Therefore,The following is my working
P(Blue|Bag x) = 0.66
But P(Bag x|Blue ) cancels out to 0.66 using Baye’s Theorem. I’m sure thats wrong right?