More then likely more!
If you tell the average US citizen what to do (or not do) they ignore the directions and do it any way.
So if Trump had cracked down sooner, more people would have rushed out to kiss, hug and embrace every one on the street. Which would have doubled the number of deaths.
But as it was, with him kind of ignoring the problem, the US citizens went crazy, bought up all the toilet paper, denatured alcohol, peroxide, paper towels, bleach and face masks. Locked themselves up at home. Which if Trump had ordered it- would have never happened.